Public opinion polls spanning the period before
and after the capture of the Evil Dictator show the extent to which
public opinion can be made to shift by a well-deployed news story or
poll. The news was announced
via broadcast media early on Sunday, too late to appear in the Sunday
newspapers. Polls taken before the capture showed that 47 percent of
the people believe the
President is doing poorly but that the war in Iraq is going well. But
by Monday these numbers had split to 64 percent thinking the President
is doing well and
38 percent believing the occupation was doing not so well. The capture
of Hussein
lifted Americans' view while halting a spiral of concern. Even
in the glow, Americans are concerned that the US is mired and vulnerable.
The President's approval rating
has humped to 58 from 52 while his disapproval rating has sagged from
40 to 33. Americans even think the economy is getting better as a result
of the capture
of the Evil Dictator. 25 percent of respondents are further wrong in
thinking that the President has been attending funerals of soldiers
killed in the occupation,
though 66 percent think he ought to and disagreed with the White House
policy of not allowing photographers to cover funeral services. One
person said the
occupation was illegal. Two said they were working with a vast network
of revolutionaries to overthrow the ruling elite. Our polling service
asked these pointed questions
because we disagree with the President. In theory, in 19 cases out
of 20, results based on a sample of 635 adults will differ by no more
than a few percentage
points in either direction from what would have been obtained by seeking
out all American adults. It is a wonderful theory although it does
not apply to people
without telephones or who work nights. Overall, however, polls are
less concerned with recording public opinion than with shaping it according
to the philosophy
that 16/17 people would rather adopt an opinion than bear one. Should
this theory prove false, such that people form opinions based on criteria
other than other
people's opinions, the purpose of polls will be to lie outright about
public opinion in the hope that somebody, somewhere, believes that
somebody, somewhere,
is being fooled.